Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr.António Joao Eusebio (Moncarapacho)


	Moncarapachense		Comércio e Indústria

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.15
	1.84	3.02	4.29
	1.85	3.11	4.32	Watch
	1.85	2.88	4.2
	1.82	3.06	4.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.88)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	4.28 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
49%

Draw
29.9%

Comércio e Indústria
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

29.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

24.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Comércio e Indústria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moncarapachense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comércio e Indústria than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comércio e Indústria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Moncarapachense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Comércio Indústria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Moncarapachense is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.02.26	Serpa - Moncarapachense	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Moncarapachense - Alcochetense	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Oriental - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Moncarapachense - Alverca B	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Moncarapachense - Elvas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLTWL
- Comércio e Indústria
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.02.26	Lagoa - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Comércio e Indústria - Serpa	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Alcochetense - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Comércio e Indústria - Oriental	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Comércio e Indústria - Alverca B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.09.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moncarapachense	0:0
12.01.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moncarapachense	0:1
18.08.24	Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria	5:2

Moncarapachense - Comércio e Indústria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide