Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max
World	Onefootball


	Sorrento		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.35	1.8	Watch
	4.7	3.37	1.89
	4.43	3.31	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3	1.8
	4.39	3.24	1.77	Watch
	4.75	3.25	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.8)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	1.8 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
20.7%

Draw
28.3%

Salernitana
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.8%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sorrento - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 46. Colombini L. 15. Solcia D. 6. Fusco F. 32. Paglino S. 4. Potenza A. 8. Cuccurullo M. 16. Ricci F. 3. Crecco L. 23. Cangianiello S. 90. Sabbatani A.	1. Donnarumma A. (G) 23. Arena M. 5. Capomaggio G. 2. Berra F. 14. Villa L. 4. Gyabuaa M. 6. de Boer K. 21. Carriero G. 28. Longobardi G. 20. Ferraris A. 32. Lescano F.
Substitutes
20. Bernabeo S. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 11. Esposito M. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 21. Matera A. 85. Milan M. 17. Riccardi P. 5. Shaw K. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.	7. Achik I. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 41. Cevers L. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 10. Ferrari F. 18. Golemic V. 39. Iervolino A. 11. Liguori M. 89. Molina J. I. 24. Quirini E. 27. Ubani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Fusco F. ↓, Shaw K. ↑,
35', Cuccurullo M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Villa L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Shaw K. 🟨,
58', Colombini L. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
70', Ferraris A. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
77', Cangianiello S. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
77', Ricci F. ↓, Bernabeo S. ↑,
77', Esposito M. 🟨,
86', Capomaggio G. 🟨,
90+2', de Boer K. ↓, Achik I. ↑,
90+2', Carriero G. ↓, Golemic V. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Lescano F. ⚽,
90+6', Paglino S. 🟨,
90+9', Lescano F. ↓, Molina J. I. ↑,
90+9', Capomaggio G. ↓, Iervolino A. ↑,
90+10', Iervolino A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Sorrento has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salernitana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salernitana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Salernitana is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Sorrento - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.22%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.26	Trapani - Sorrento	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sorrento - Foggia	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Atalanta U23 - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLTW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.26	Atalanta U23 - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Siracusa - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Salernitana - Foggia	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Picerno - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.09.25	Salernitana - Sorrento	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Salernitana - Sorrento	1:2 penalties

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