Match Info

J1 League - Round 2

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.01	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.05	Watch
	3.67	3.51	2.14
	3.53	3.48	2.08	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	3.52	3.52	2.06	Watch
	3.4	3.33	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.89)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	2.07 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
27.1%

Draw
27.5%

Kyoto Sanga
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimizu S-Pulse's form might have worsened.

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Shimizu S Pulse - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Shimizu (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oki Y. (G) 39. Hidaka H. 51. Sumiyoshi J. 15. Honda Y. 28. Yoshida Y. 10. Matheus Bueno 81. Kozuka K. 23. Chiba K. 49. Kitagawa K. 9. Oh Se-Hun 7. Capixaba	1. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 5. Appiah Tawiah H. 50. Suzuki Y. 22. Sugai H. 32. Saito M. 6. Joao Pedro 16. Hiraoka T. 11. Marco Tulio 9. Rafael Elias 77. Arai H.
Substitutes
18. Gunji R. 5. Kitazume K. 21. Matsuzaki K. 97. Ohata R. 47. Shimamoto Y. 50. Stephens A. 38. Takahashi T. 16. Umeda T. (G) 17. Yumiba M.	34. Henrique Trevisan 39. Hirato T. 99. Honda F. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 18. Matsuda T. 93. Nagasawa S. 7. Okugawa M. 44. Sato K. 8. Yonemoto T.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Jo Gwi-Jae

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Saito M. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Appiah Tawiah H. (Own goal),
50', Kozuka K. 🟨,
58', Arai H. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
63', Fukuda S. 🟨,
74', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
79', Chiba K. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
79', Kozuka K. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
85', Yonemoto T. ↓, Henrique Trevisan ↑,
87', Kitagawa K. ↓, Gunji R. ↑,
90', Hidaka H. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
90+12', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Honda F. (A),
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Oh Se-Hun (Penalty Awarded),
1, Joao Pedro (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takahashi T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rafael Elias (Penalty Awarded),
3, Capixaba (Penalty Awarded),
3, Suzuki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Matheus Bueno (Penalty Awarded),
4, Marco Tulio (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 2.

Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kyoto could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Shimizu: Kozuka K. (Yellow Cards) Sumiyoshi J. (Yellow Cards) Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Yellow Cards) Suzuki Y. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Shimizu: Park Seung-Wook (Injury) Stephens A. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kyoto: 1.57% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4
16	Shimizu S-Pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
08.02.26	Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Shonan Bellmare - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Yokohama FC - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Kyoto Sanga - Kashima Antlers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
20.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1
16.03.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1
Japan J1 League
27.08.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
Japan J1 League
14.05.22	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0
Japan J2 League
03.11.16	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	4:1

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