Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside)

Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)


	Monterey Bay		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.61	4	4.2
	1.49	3.95	5.2
	1.54	4.56	5.29
	1.5	3.85	6.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.98)	4.11 ↑ (3.62)	5.23 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
60.1%

Draw
22.3%

New York Red Bulls 2
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

25%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterey Bay's performance.

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Red Bulls 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterey Bay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Red Bulls 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Monterey Bay - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Monterey Bay will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterey Bay: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

Monterey Bay has the most likely position - 13 (37.5%), has project points - 36, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (63.88%), has project points - 21, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 7, very small importance 2, very small match rating 5. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Monterey Bay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New York Red Bulls 2 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New York Red Bulls 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Monterey Bay is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
16.07.22	Monterey Bay - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
09.07.22	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	0:2 ✺
02.07.22	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	1:1 ✺
25.06.22	Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic	1:2 ✺
15.06.22	LA Galaxy II - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWTLL
- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
15.07.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Louisville City - New York Red Bulls 2	6:0 ✺
01.07.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:3 ✺
25.06.22	El Paso Locomotive - New York Red Bulls 2	5:0 ✺
15.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLT

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