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Current Win Probability
Miami 41.2%
Draw 28.9%
Orange County SC 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
28.5%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
27.8%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orange County SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.7%
42.9%
21.4%
Miami - Orange County SC Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.
31. Rodriguez F. (G) 12. Ndiaye B. 13. Knutson D. (C) 4. Calfo A. 21. Milesi A. 16. Diaz G. 5. Tori R. 7. Tunbridge M. 22. Da Costa R. 23. Musto T. 9. Sonora J.
1. Rando A. (G) 15. Espy T. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 6. Tubbs G. 4. Benalcazar N. 25. Solis E. 18. Palomino M. 27. Kelly S. 17. Johnson J. 11. MacKinnon L. 12. Bazini Y.
Substitutes
35. Bent B. 34. Celdran T. 43. Gonsalves G. (G) 37. Mello D. 27. Ndongo M. 26. Rocha A. 14. Rogers A. 8. Romero M. 6. Tulu
32. Ciotta N. 10. Hegardt C. 31. Kadono T. (G) 29. Kurnik O. 22. Marinch A. 28. O'Brien F. 8. Sylla O. 9. Zubak E.
Coaches
Maddoni G.
Stone D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Milesi A. ⚽,
35', Tori R. 🟨,
38', Kelly S. 🟨,
39', Milesi A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Bazini Y. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Palomino M. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Kelly S. ⚽, Benalcazar N. (A),
60', 1 - 3, Bazini Y. ⚽, Benalcazar N. (A),
63', Tori R. ↓, Rocha A. ↑,
63', Musto T. ↓, Ndongo M. ↑,
63', Johnson J. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
63', Ndiaye B. ↓, Tulu ↑,
72', Tunbridge M. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
78', Da Costa R. ↓, Mello D. ↑,
78', MacKinnon L. ↓, Marinch A. ↑,
79', Solis E. 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, Ndongo M. ⚽, Mello D. (A),
88', Bazini Y. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 4, Solis E. ⚽, Sylla O. (A),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Recent form of Miami has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Orange County SC has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Orange County SC - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.24%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
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Rodriguez F. (G) 
Ndiaye B. 
Knutson D. (C) 
Milesi A. 
Diaz G. 
Tori R. 
Tunbridge M. 
Da Costa R. 
Kelly S. 
MacKinnon L. 
Bazini Y. 
Bent B. 
Gonsalves G. (G) 
Ndongo M. 
Rocha A. 
Romero M. 
Tulu 
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