Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside)

Referee: Rivas M. (Usa)


	Monterey Bay		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.2
	2.97	3.56	2.2
	2.94	3.58	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.45)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	2.18 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
31.7%

Draw
25.9%

San Diego Loyal
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego Loyal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Herrera C. (G) 3. Doner M. 4. Lara A. 33. Greene K. 2. Roberts H. (C) 11. Martinez W. 23. Gleadle S. 6. Murphy J. 20. Baca R. 15. Dixon A. 9. Okoli S.	1. Koke Vegas (G) 13. Riley C. 5. Stoneman G. 4. Guzman C. 14. Perez A. 15. Corona J. 17. Martin C. 6. Adams C. (C) 7. Bodily B. 8. Damus R. 9. Conway E.
Substitutes
31. Boone C. 19. Enriquez J. 24. Glasser M. 7. Rebollar A. 16. Siaha A. (G) 10. Volesky Ch. 5. Yoseke N.	23. Chilaka M. 60. Ferree D. (G) 50. Gnaulati X. 10. Guido A. 2. Hackworth M. 20. Moon N. 11. Moshobane T.
Coaches
Yallop F.	MIller N.

Preview

Monterey Bay in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Monterey Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
16.09.23	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
02.09.23	El Paso Locomotive - Monterey Bay	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Monterey Bay - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	San Antonio - Monterey Bay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWWWT
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
16.09.23	Louisville City - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Charleston Battery - San Diego Loyal	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	San Diego Loyal - Birmingham Legion	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
03.09.22	Monterey Bay - San Diego Loyal	3:1
10.08.22	San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay	1:0

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