Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Torero Stadium (San Diego)

Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)


	San Diego Loyal		Birmingham Legion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.86	3.72
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.85	3.68	3.68	Watch
	1.88	3.65	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.9)	3.62 ↓ (3.64)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
49%

Draw
25.4%

Birmingham Legion
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.3%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

San Diego Loyal - Birmingham Legion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 7. Bodily B. 5. Stoneman G. 3. Martin E. 4. Guzman C. 14. Perez A. 17. Martin C. 6. Adams C. 10. Guido A. 11. Moshobane T. 9. Conway E.	1. Van Oekel M. (G) 4. Smith C. 21. Crognale A. 3. Kavita P. 33. Mensah M. 5. Lopez M. 19. Martinez E. 9. Agudelo J. 10. Kassim P. 11. Brett N. 7. Nwegbo D.
Substitutes
23. Chilaka M. 18. Collier E. 15. Corona J. 8. Damus R. 60. Ferree D. (G) 50. Gnaulati X. 2. Hackworth M.	16. Alves G. A. 17. Corcoran M. 23. Dupont G. 96. Freeman T. 28. Preston T. E. 13. Rufe J. 30. Torman S. (G)
Coaches
MIller N.	Soehn T.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of home games.

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
26.08.23	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Memphis 901	0:1 ✺
09.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Orange County SC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLWL
- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
27.08.23	Birmingham Legion - Detroit City	2:3 ✺
23.08.23	Tulsa - Birmingham Legion	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
09.08.23	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.08.22	Birmingham Legion - San Diego Loyal	1:0

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