Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Torero Stadium (San Diego)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)


	San Diego Loyal		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.75	3.75	3.9
	1.81	4.05	3.86
	1.75	3.9	3.86	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	3.82 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Loyal
51.9%

Draw
24%

New Mexico United
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

25.5%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 13. Riley C. 5. Stoneman G. 4. Guzman C. 14. Perez A. 15. Corona J. 17. Martin C. 6. Adams C. (C) 7. Bodily B. 10. Guido A. 9. Conway E.	1. Tambakis A. (G) 16. Seymore W. 18. Colonna K. 22. Ryden K. (C) 5. Suggs J. 33. Swartz H. 7. Rivas S. 43. Portillo J. J. 49. Borgelin S. 20. Reyes J. 11. Moar S.
Substitutes
18. Collier E. 8. Damus R. 60. Ferree D. (G) 16. Kasanzu J. 3. Martin E. 11. Moshobane T. 77. Mushagalusa E.	25. Bruce D. 2. Garvanian M. 4. Hamilton S. 17. Hurst G. 10. Moreno A. 12. Parker F. D. (G)
Coaches
MIller N.	Quill E.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

San Diego Loyal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of home games.

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams San Diego Loyal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
12.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Memphis 901	0:1 ✺
09.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	San Diego Loyal - Orange County SC	1:3 ✺
30.07.23	San Diego Loyal - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.23	San Diego Loyal - Borussia Dortmund	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
12.08.23	New Mexico United - San Antonio	0:3 ✺
05.08.23	Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Orange County SC - New Mexico United	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic	3:0 ✺
08.07.23	New Mexico United - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.04.23	New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal	1:1
09.10.22	San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United	3:3
07.05.22	New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal	1:1
17.10.21	San Diego Loyal - New Mexico United	1:1

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