The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monterrey 34.9%
Draw 29.5%
Club América 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
26.6%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
25.4%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club América could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
28.6%
57.1%
Monterrey - Club América Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). América will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Monterrey (1.92) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 2 - 40%). América (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Cardenas L. (G) 2. Chavez R. 33. Medina S. 93. Ramos S. (C) 3. Arteaga G. 30. Rodriguez J. 5. Ambriz F. 17. Corona J. 10. Canales S. 8. Torres O. 7. Berterame G.
1. Malagon L. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 3. Reyes I. 31. Lichnovsky I. 26. Borja C. 6. dos Santos J. (C) 4. Caceres S. 8. Fidalgo A. 10. Zendejas A. 7. Rodriguez B. 27. Aguirre R.
Substitutes
14. Aguirre E. 27. de la Rosa R. 35. Fimbres I. 4. Guzman V. 9. Martial A. 25. Mele S. (G) 15. Moreno H. 192. Moxica J. 21. Reyes L.
13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 11. Davila V. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 29. Juarez R. 9. Martin H. 28. Sanchez E. 32. Vazquez M. 12. Violante I. 19. Zuniga J.
Coaches
Torrent D.
Jardine A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Corona J. 🟨,
27', Lichnovsky I. 🟨,
38', Chavez R. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Canales S. ⚽, Corona J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Aguirre R. 🟨,
63', Corona J. ↓, Martial A. ↑,
63', Chavez R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Ambriz F. ⚽, Arteaga G. (A),
71', Aguirre R. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
73', Rodriguez B. ↓, Davila V. ↑,
75', Zuniga J. 🟨,
81', Torres O. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
81', Ambriz F. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
85', Fidalgo A. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
86', Berterame G. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
89', Arteaga G. 🟨,
90+3', Alvarez K. 🟨,
90+4', Alvarez K. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
90+5', Fimbres I. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in América: Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
Martin H.
(Knee Injury)
Violante I.
(Muscle Injury)
Zuniga J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Monterrey: Fimbres I.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).