Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio BBVA Bancomer (Monterrey)

Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	CBS Sports Network, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Monterrey		UNAM

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.95
	1.63	4.01	5.63
	1.69	3.75	4.89	Watch
	1.64	3.94	5.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	5.26 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterrey
57.7%

Draw
24.3%

UNAM
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

24.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Monterrey - UNAM Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Monterrey (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monterrey will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monterrey will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mele S. (G) 4. Guzman V. 15. Moreno H. 93. Ramos S. (C) 3. Arteaga G. 8. Torres O. 21. Reyes L. 7. Berterame G. 10. Canales S. 29. Ocampos L. 9. Martial A.	1. Navas K. (C) 2. Bennevendo P. 6. Nathan Silva 215. Azuaje A. 77. Angulo A. 28. Carrasquilla A. 8. Caicedo J. 22. Medina A. 5. Duarte R. 17. Ruvalcaba J. 11. Macias J.
Substitutes
22. Cardenas L. (G) 27. de la Rosa R. 35. Fimbres I. 32. Leone T. 33. Medina S. 30. Rodriguez J. 31. Rodriguez M. 13. Salcedo C. 23. Sanchez L.	35. Lara P. (G) 7. Lopez R. 30. Lopez S. 13. Monroy P. 241. Ramirez D. 26. Rico A. 15. Rivas U. 20. Trigos S. 258. Villasenor E.
Coaches
Torrent D.	Juarez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Duarte R. 🟨,
32', Macias J. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Medina A. ⚽, Ruvalcaba J. (A),
45+9', 1 - 1, Ramos S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreno H. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
46', Martial A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
64', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
74', Torrent D. 🟥,
86', Torres O. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
86', Guzman V. ↓, Leone T. ↑,
90+3', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
90+3', Medina A. ↓, Monroy P. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 4.

In recent matches, Monterrey has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UNAM is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Monterrey is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Monterrey: Ambriz F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in UNAM: Martinez G. (Foot Injury) Ramsey A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Monterrey: Canales S. (Hamstring Injury) Chavez R. (Injury) Guzman V. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Monterrey - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.23%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX
05.10.25	Tijuana - Monterrey	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Monterrey - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Toluca - Monterrey	6:2 ✺
20.09.25	Monterrey - Club América	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Querétaro - Monterrey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTW
- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
05.10.25	UNAM - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Club América - UNAM	4:1 ✺
23.09.25	Juárez - UNAM	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	UNAM - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Mazatlan - UNAM	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
04.05.25	Monterrey - UNAM	2:0
16.03.25	UNAM - Monterrey	1:3
01.12.24	UNAM - Monterrey	3:5
28.11.24	Monterrey - UNAM	1:0
23.10.24	Monterrey - UNAM	0:0
CONCACAF League Cup
03.08.24	Monterrey - UNAM	1:2 penalties
Mexican Liga MX
03.03.24	Monterrey - UNAM	3:0

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