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Current Win Probability
Toluca 42.3%
Draw 26%
Club América 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
25.7%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
25.2%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
The chances for Club América have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club América than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Toluca - Club América Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - América (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez H. (G) 4. Bruno Mendez 6. Pereira F. 25. del Villar E. 2. Barbosa D. 5. Romero F. 14. Ruiz M. (C) 20. Gallardo J. 11. Helinho 8. Castro N. 26. Paulinho
1. Malagon L. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 4. Caceres S. 29. Juarez R. 26. Borja C. 28. Sanchez E. 3. Reyes I. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 8. Fidalgo A. (C) 97. Saint-Maximin A. 7. Rodriguez B.
Substitutes
184. Aceves S. 35. Alvarez A. 10. Angulo J. 24. Arce F. 3. Briseno A. 7. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 22. Garcia L. (G) 16. Herrera H. 31. Morales R. 23. Virgen O.
27. Aguirre R. 13. Cervantes A. 30. Cota R. (G) 11. Davila V. 6. dos Santos J. 31. Lichnovsky I. 15. Orquin R. 214. Salas P. 32. Vazquez M. 10. Zendejas A.
Coaches
Mohamed A.
Jardine A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Pereira F. 🟨,
37', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Castro N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
46', Rodriguez B. ↓, Zendejas A. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Helinho (Pen),
63', Helinho ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
63', Castro N. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
81', del Villar E. ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
81', Reyes I. ↓, Lichnovsky I. ↑,
87', Caceres S. ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
87', Fidalgo A. ↓, Salas P. ↑,
90', Ruiz M. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
90', Paulinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
90+3', dos Santos J. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
América is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Toluca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Toluca: Luan
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in América: Espinoza D.
(Knee Injury)
Violante I.
(Muscle Injury)
Zuniga J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in América: Martin H.
(Knee Injury)
Zendejas A.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
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Gonzalez H. (G) 
Bruno Mendez 
Romero F. 
Helinho 
Paulinho 
Borja C. 
Fidalgo A. (C) 
Saint-Maximin A. 
Arce F. 
Morales R. 
Davila V. 
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