Match Info
Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9Date: 20 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
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UNAM |
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Tigres UANL |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
UNAM
39.8% | Draw
28.4% | Tigres UANL
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - UNAM (1.51) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tigres (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Navas K. (C)
2.  Bennevendo P.
6.  Nathan Silva
5.  Duarte R.
77.  Angulo A.
8. Caicedo J.
20. Trigos S.
45.  Vite P.
10.  Ramsey A.
17. Ruvalcaba J.
9. Martinez G.
| 1.  Guzman N. (G)
19. Lopez I.
23. Romulo
4. Sanchez J.
3.  Farfan M.
34. Parra B.
8.  Gorriaran F. (C)
16. Lainez D.
14. Garza J.
7. Correa A.
77. Herrera O.
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| Substitutes |
215. Azuaje A.
28.  Carrasquilla A.
7. Lopez R.
11. Macias J.
22. Medina A.
13. Monroy P.
181. Paul M. (G)
15. Rivas U.
| 27. Angulo J.
22. Antuna U.
11. Brunetta J.
17. Cordova S.
24. Flores M.
9. Ibanez N.
2. Joaquim
32. Lorona V.
25. Rodriguez F. (G)
6. Vigon J.
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| Coaches |
Juarez E.
| Pizarro G.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Ramsey A. (Pen),
- 40', Correa A. 🟨,
- 41', Bennevendo P. 🟨,
- 45+1', Herrera O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Angulo A. 🟨,
- 58', Lopez I. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
- 58', Lainez D. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 61', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 62', Ramsey A. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 73', Herrera O. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 73', Gorriaran F. ↓, Brunetta J. ↑,
- 75', Trigos S. ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
- 82', Martinez G. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 83', Parra B. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Macias J. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
- 88', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ibanez N. (Pen),
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Correa A. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 0.UNAM is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).Tigres has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Tigres has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.There will not play in UNAM: Lopez S.
(Finger Injury)There will not play in Tigres: Gignac A.
(Knee Injury)There are questionable in Tigres: Guerrero R.
(Ankle Injury)
Tapia F.
(Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Tigres UANL - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.51%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Mexican Liga MX | | | 19.04.25 | Tigres UANL - UNAM | 2:1 | | 01.09.24 | UNAM - Tigres UANL | 1:3 | | 03.02.24 | Tigres UANL - UNAM | 2:2 | | 10.12.23 | Tigres UANL - UNAM | 1:1 | | 07.12.23 | UNAM - Tigres UANL | 0:1 | | 27.08.23 | UNAM - Tigres UANL | 2:1 | | 11.02.23 | Tigres UANL - UNAM | 4:2 |
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