Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	00:10	SportyNet
Mexico	21:10	Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Usa	23:10	CBS Sports Network, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, NBC, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	UNAM		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.65
	2.42	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.48	3.5	2.93
	2.44	3.45	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.85
	2.42	3.34	2.68	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.75)	3.4 (3.4)	2.79 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UNAM
38.8%

Draw
27.6%

Tigres UANL
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

26.6%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNAM's performance.

Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigres UANL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNAM that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres UANL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

UNAM - Tigres UANL Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tigres will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 2. Bennevendo P. 21. Antuna U. 45. Vite P. 8. Carrasquilla A. 10. Huerta Valera C. S. 31. Morales R. 23. Juninho	1. Guzman N. (G) 14. Garza J. 15. Franco A. 33. Guerrero R. 19. Lainez M. 8. Gorriaran F. (C) 5. Araujo C. 16. Lainez D. 11. Brunetta J. 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 17. Aguirre R.
Substitutes
77. Angulo A. 18. Arteaga V. 34. Azuaje A. 14. Herrera L. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 30. Lopez S. 15. Luna I. 22. Medina A. 19. Rivas J.	184. Aceves I. 29. Contreras J. 9. Gomez E. 77. Herrera O. 32. Lorona V. 22. Martinez G. 21. Monreal R. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 6. Vigon J. 192. Villavicencio Avila E. J.
Coaches
Solari E.	Vucetich M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Garza J. 🟨,
29', Bennevendo P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Morales R. ⚽, Bennevendo P. (A),
67', Aguirre R. 🟨,
70', Aguirre R. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
70', Araujo C. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
70', Garza J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Brunetta J. ⚽,
80', Vite P. ↓, Arteaga V. ↑,
80', Bennevendo P. ↓, Angulo A. ↑,
80', Lainez D. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
80', Antuna U. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
83', Lainez M. ↓, Lorona V. ↑,
86', Angulo A. 🟨,
89', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
90+1', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
90+1', Juninho ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
90+2', Luna I. 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 12th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

UNAM may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for UNAM: Calderon C. (Injury) Cordova S. (Knee Injury) Macias J. (Knee Injury) Nathan Silva (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Tigres: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Flores M. (Knee Injury) Joaquim (Thigh Injury) Reyes F. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Tigres: Farfan M. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez O. (Knee Injury) Romulo (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, UNAM has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:31 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for UNAM against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:14 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	UNAM Pumas	14	4	5	5	20:23	-3	17
15	Tigres UANL	14	3	6	5	15:19	-4	15

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now

UNAM Pumas: 3.08% Tigres UANL: 0.83%

Last Results with these Odds

UNAM - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.46%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Tigres UANL - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.49%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
21.10.26	Santos Laguna - UNAM	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Atlante - UNAM	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	UNAM - Cruz Azul	3:3 ✺
27.09.26	UNAM - Atlético San Luis	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Atlas - UNAM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLT
- Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX
20.10.26	Tigres UANL - Club León	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Tigres UANL - Toluca	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Tigres UANL - Puebla	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Juárez - Tigres UANL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.01.26	Tigres UANL - UNAM	0:1
20.09.25	UNAM - Tigres UANL	1:1
19.04.25	Tigres UANL - UNAM	2:1
01.09.24	UNAM - Tigres UANL	1:3
03.02.24	Tigres UANL - UNAM	2:2
10.12.23	Tigres UANL - UNAM	1:1
07.12.23	UNAM - Tigres UANL	0:1

Upcoming Matches