The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 45.7%
Draw 28%
UNAM 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
24%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
24.3%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club América's form might have worsened.
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Club América - UNAM Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. América will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cota R. (G) 5. Alvarez K. 4. Caceres S. 32. Vazquez M. 26. Borja C. 28. Sanchez E. 17. Rodrigo Dourado 10. Zendejas A. (C) 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 12. Violante I. 33. Salas P.
1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 45. Vite P. 21. Antuna U. 28. Carrasquilla A. 33. Carrillo J. 77. Angulo A. 23. Juninho 31. Morales R.
Substitutes
14. Araujo N. 13. Cervantes A. 6. dos Santos J. 22. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 34. Espinoza D. 29. Juarez R. 45. Lima 9. Martin H. 23. Raphael Veiga 21. Tapia F. (G)
215. Azuaje A. 2. Bennevendo P. 14. Garza C. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 193. Ramirez D. 26. Rico A. 19. Rivas J. 15. Rivas U. 20. Trigos S.
Coaches
Jardine A.
Juarez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽, Carrillo J. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Violante I. ⚽, Salas P. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Antuna U. ⚽,
45+4', Borja C. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 3, Carrillo J. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
56', Juninho ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
59', Violante I. 🟨,
61', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
62', Caceres S. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
63', Salas P. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
66', Lopez R. 🟨,
78', 2 - 3, Martin H. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
79', Sanchez E. ↓, Lima ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Zendejas A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Carrillo J. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
90+2', Antuna U. ↓, Leone T. ↑,
90+2', Lopez R. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 2.
América has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
UNAM is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, América has had a series of home games.
In this match, América is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, América won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Club America
9
6
2
1
21:10
11
20
13
UNAM Pumas
10
3
3
4
14:16
-2
12
Last Results with these Odds
Club América - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.48%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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Cota R. (G) 
Caceres S. 
Borja C. 
Rodrigo Dourado 
Zendejas A. (C) 
Navas K. (C) 
Duarte R. 
Vite P. 
Carrasquilla A. 
Morales R. 
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