Match Info

Date: 11 May 2021, Tuesday


	Montevideo City Torque		Independiente

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65
	2.38	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.34	3.15	2.85
	2.5	3.3	2.94
	2.45	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.38	3.24	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (3.8)	3.16 ↓ (3.46)	2.84 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
38.1%

Draw
29.3%

Independiente
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.6%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

20.8%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montevideo City Torque's performance.

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montevideo City Torque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+30.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montevideo City Torque - Independiente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Independiente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montevideo City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.21	Montevideo City Torque - Guabirá	4:0 ✺
28.04.21	Independiente - Montevideo City Torque	3:1 ✺
21.04.21	Montevideo City Torque - Bahia	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
07.04.21	Montevideo City Torque - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWT
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.21	Bahia - Independiente	2:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	Independiente - Montevideo City Torque	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.21	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	Independiente - Montevideo City Torque	3:1

Upcoming Matches