Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Bahia		Independiente

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.33
	1.78	3.3	4.3	Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.4
	1.85	3.43	4.68
	1.85	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.34	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.3)	3.32 ↑ (3)	4.46 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
51.2%

Draw
28%

Independiente
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

20.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	13.9%	8.3%

Bahia - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). Independiente will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 64.2% – 91.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Bahia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
01.05.21	Bahia - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.21	Bahia - Guabirá	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.04.21	Fortaleza - Bahia	0:1 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.04.21	Montevideo City Torque - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.04.21	Bahia - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWTW
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.21	Independiente - Montevideo City Torque	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.21	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.04.21	Guabirá - Independiente	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
18.04.21	Independiente - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTWW

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