Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Benitez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Ecuador	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter


	Palestino		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	3	Watch
	2.58	2.92	2.88	Watch
	2.65	3.01	2.99
	2.43	3.13	3.11	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.54	3.06	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.2)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	3 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
37.1%

Draw
31.3%

Montevideo City Torque
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palestino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	58.3%	33.3%

Palestino - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 3. Roco E. 28. Zuniga D. 5. Fernandez J. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 15. Montes Romero F. T. 18. Gallegos S. 27. Munder C. 19. Da Silva N.	1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 2. Romero F. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 18. Lecchini R.
Substitutes
30. Alegria I. 21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 9. Fernandez R. 23. Leon J. 6. Meza F. 8. Meza N. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.	12. Aguiar M. (G) 7. Andrade L. 15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 19. Guzman D. 14. Kociubinski B. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 3. Silva K. 27. Taran J.
Coaches
Munoz C.	Mendez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Montes G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Romero F. 🟨,
59', Garguez Gomez I. A. 🟨,
63', 0 - 2, Gallegos S. (Own goal),
66', Fernandez J. 🟥,
66', Carrasco B. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
76', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
82', Obregon E. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
82', Siles P. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
82', Guzman D. 🟨,
84', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
84', Gallegos S. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
90', Lecchini R. ↓, Andrade L. ↑,
90', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Silva K. ↑,
90+2', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Montevideo City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Palestino might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Montevideo City: 8.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
11.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Riestra - Palestino	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.04.26	Universidad Católica - Palestino	6:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Palestino - OHiggins	1:3 ✺
26.03.26	Deportes Limache - Palestino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLLT
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Montevideo City Torque - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Montevideo City Torque - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.04.26	Danubio - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo City Torque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL

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