Match Info

Date: 28 April 2022, Thursday


	Montevideo Wanderers		Lanús

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.9	Watch
	4.1	3.25	1.9
	4	3.3	1.89
	3.85	3.35	1.85
	4.29	3.49	1.89
	4.2	3.25	1.8	Watch
	4.05	3.4	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.74)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	1.87 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
22.6%

Draw
27.7%

Lanús
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

28.9%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	12%	68%

Montevideo Wanderers - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Lanús will win (votes: 17 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lanús could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lanús is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Montevideo Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTLL
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.22	Godoy Cruz - Lanús	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Lanús - Rosario Central	3:1 ✺
17.04.22	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Lanús - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.04.22	Lanús - Aldosivi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTWL

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