Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Rentistas		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.18
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.18	3.34	2.39
	3	3.1	2.25
	3	3.3	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.09)	3.21 ↓ (3.45)	2.26 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
30.8%

Draw
28.6%

Montevideo Wanderers
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.5%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Rentistas aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 0.

Rentistas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wanderers is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wanderers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Rentistas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.22	Montevideo City Torque - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
01.04.22	Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
11.03.22	Cerrito - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Rentistas - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLLL
- Montevideo Wanderers
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Montevideo Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	2:1
31.05.21	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
10.02.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	3:2
25.10.20	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	2:2
19.08.20	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0
04.06.16	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	2:1
05.12.15	Rentistas - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2

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