Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Montevideo Wanderers		Metropolitanos

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	4.75
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.65	3.65	5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.6
	1.71	3.54	5.46
	1.57	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.38)	3.63 ↓ (4.4)	4.99 ↓ (8.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
55.8%

Draw
25.6%

Metropolitanos
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.2%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.3%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metropolitanos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metropolitanos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.6%	13.9%	55.6%

Montevideo Wanderers - Metropolitanos Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). Metropolitanos will win (votes: 20 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metropolitanos: 39.4% – 71.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Metropolitanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wanderers is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.04.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Montevideo Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.22	Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.03.22	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTTW
- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
10.04.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Metropolitanos - Lanús	0:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.04.22	Metropolitanos - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Monagas - Metropolitanos	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	Metropolitanos - Caracas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTLW

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