The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Montevideo Wanderers 32.9%
Draw 27.9%
Deportivo Maldonado 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
28.6%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
29.5%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo Wanderers's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Maldonado's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Maldonado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
33. Buffa A. (G) 21. Benitez S. 13. Formiliano F. (C) 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 31. Furtado N. 5. Queiroz N. 16. Alberti J. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 80. Urretaviscaya J. 30. Labandeira F. 19. Zeballos J.
1. Freitas A. (G) 33. Fuica N. 3. Menosse H. 42. Fernandez J. 4. Ginzo J. M. 8. Gonzalez M. 22. Ramos J. 11. Lopez G. 17. Ramirez S. 14. Tabo C. 10. Noble Sequeira A. M.
Substitutes
14. Acosta M. 18. Baju L. 25. Freitas G. 17. Garcia A. 20. Guzman S. 70. Levato M. 12. Rio J. (G) 7. Rivero R. 9. Roque R. 6. Zazpe L.
28. Cartagena S. 9. de Leon E. 15. Gonzalez S. 7. Larrazabal G. 31. Marino F. 5. Nunez L. 12. Ortiz Ferreira V. F. (G) 32. Petryk H. 20. Tormo S. 23. Vila A.
Coaches
Corujo M.
Di Noia G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Tabo C. ⚽,
45+2', Freitas A. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Zeballos J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Labandeira F. ↓, Rivero R. ↑,
46', Freitas A. ↓, Ortiz Ferreira V. F. ↑,
62', Ramirez S. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
62', Lopez G. ↓, Larrazabal G. ↑,
74', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Roque R. ↑,
77', Ramos J. ↓, Tormo S. ↑,
77', Noble Sequeira A. M. ↓, de Leon E. ↑,
79', Zeballos J. ↓, Levato M. ↑,
80', Alberti J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
80', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
84', Fuica N. 🟨,
85', Menosse H. 🟨,
89', Queiroz N. ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 2.
Recent performances by Wanderers have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Maldonado is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Maldonado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.6).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Maldonado
9
5
2
2
13:5
8
17
6
Wanderers
9
4
3
2
12:11
1
15
Last Results with these Odds
Montevideo Wanderers - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.44%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
#ad
Buffa A. (G) 
Mencia Hernandez D. J. 
Ginzo J. M. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
