Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 4, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Angers		Brest

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.52
	3.2	3.15	2.52
	9.75	4.14	1.39	Watch
	3.18	3.28	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.15)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angers
23.3%

Draw
31.1%

Brest
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Angers's form might have worsened.

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Angers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	13.3%	53.3%

Angers - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Angers will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Brest will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Angers (votes: 1 - 25%). Brest (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Koffi H. (G) 2. Arcus C. 4. Camara O. 21. Lefort J. 3. Ekomie J. 14. Belkhdim Y. 93. Belkebla H. (C) 17. Kalumba J. 10. Abdelli H. 11. Cherif S. 35. Peter P.	1. Majecki R. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
25. Bamba A. 24. Biumla E. 15. Capelle P. 5. Courcoul M. 26. Hanin F. 20. Louer M. 36. Machine L. 6. Mouton L. 40. Pona O. (G)	30. Coudert G. (G) 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 27. Guindo D. 50. Jauny N. (G) 26. Le Cardinal J. 36. Le Guen R. 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Dujeux A.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Labeau Lascary R. ⚽, Del Castillo R. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
41', Ekomie J. 🟨,
45', Magnetti H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Camara O. ↓, Biumla E. ↑,
63', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
66', Ekomie J. ↓, Hanin F. ↑,
70', Cherif S. ↓, Machine L. ↑,
70', Abdelli H. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
75', Doumbia K. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
79', Arcus C. ↓, Louer M. ↑,
79', Belkhdim Y. ↓, Courcoul M. ↑,
89', Del Castillo R. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Angers won 1.

In recent matches, Angers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brest is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brest is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Angers: Allevinah J. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Thigh Injury) Bourgault J. (International duty) Tousart L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Angers won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Angers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angers SCO
French Ligue 1
19.09.25	Lyon - Angers	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Metz - Angers	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Angers - Rennes	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Angers	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Angers - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTTLW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Brest - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Lens - Brest	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Toulouse - Brest	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Brest - Lille	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
09.03.25	Brest - Angers	2:0
05.01.25	Angers - Brest	2:0
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Brest - Angers	1:0
French Ligue 1
29.01.23	Brest - Angers	4:0
21.08.22	Angers - Brest	1:3
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Brest - Angers	2:0
French Ligue 1
20.03.22	Angers - Brest	1:0

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