The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montpellier 44.4%
Draw 27%
Bordeaux 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
25.4%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
19.8%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montpellier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bordeaux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.5%
39%
13.6%
Montpellier - Bordeaux Predictions
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 28 - 47.5%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 8 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 39%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 34.8% โ 60.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17).
Montpellier has the most likely position - 14 (6.8%), has project points - 48, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (15.05%), has project points - 39, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Montpellier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Montpellier is a favorite.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-7.