Match Info

League One - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Links Park (Montrose)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Montrose		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3	3.4	2.15
	3.01	3.58	2.21
	2.98	3.45	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.25
	2.98	3.52	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	2.21 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montrose
31.2%

Draw
26.9%

Alloa Athletic
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Montrose - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montrose will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alloa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sharp H. (G) 2. Williamson R. 14. Dillon S. 4. Quinn A. 3. Steeves A. 12. Freeman K. 7. Webster G. 8. Sandilands C. 6. Masson T. (C) 11. Lyons B. 10. Sutherland T.	31. McFarlane L. (G) 24. Foster O. 3. Waters C. 2. Taggart S. (C) 20. O'Donnell C. 8. Roberts K. 4. Hetherington S. 28. Adamson C. 27. Stewart L. 9. Donnelly L. 29. Burnside C.
Substitutes
20. Bertie K. 22. Brown C. 21. Campbell M. (G) 23. Gibson L. 18. Glasgow E. 9. Loudon E. 15. Stevenson G. 17. Towler E. 5. Waddell K.	19. Buchanan S. 17. Gallagher C. 5. Graham A. 15. McKay D. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 11. Orsi K. 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C. 12. Scougall S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Burnside C. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Burnside C. ⚽, Adamson C. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Sutherland T. ⚽, Steeves A. (A),
43', Taggart S. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 2, Freeman K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
50', Lyons B. 🟨,
55', Webster G. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
55', Dillon S. ↓, Loudon E. ↑,
55', Freeman K. ↓, Stevenson G. ↑,
64', Masson T. 🟨,
68', 3 - 2, Lyons B. ⚽, Sandilands C. (A),
69', 4 - 2, Sandilands C. ⚽,
72', Sutherland T. 🟨,
73', Masson T. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
75', Sutherland T. ↓, Waddell K. ↑,
77', Hetherington S. ↓, Scougall S. ↑,
78', 5 - 2, Loudon E. ⚽, Lyons B. (A),
80', 5 - 3, Donnelly L. ⚽,
84', 5 - 4, Burnside C. ⚽,
85', Waddell K. 🟨,
88', O'Donnell C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 1.

Montrose has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alloa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alloa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Montrose won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Montrose: 1.29% Alloa: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montrose	9	5	0	4	13:14	-1	15
6	Alloa	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Montrose - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.84%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Alloa Athletic - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.88%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
07.03.26	Inverness - Montrose	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Montrose - Queen of the South	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Cove Rangers - Montrose	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWL
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
10.03.26	Peterhead - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Alloa Athletic - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	East Fife - Alloa Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Alloa Athletic - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
20.01.26	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	4:1
08.11.25	Montrose - Alloa Athletic	0:4
13.09.25	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	0:1
Scottish League Cup
15.07.25	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	2:1
Scottish League One
26.04.25	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	2:1
08.02.25	Montrose - Alloa Athletic	2:2
14.12.24	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	1:2

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