Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 17

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	15:00	Sky Sport


	Benevento		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.6
	2.2	2.9	3.65	Watch
	2.23	2.85	3.55
	2.29	2.97	3.92
	2.2	2.88	3.75
	2.19	2.88	3.9	Watch
	2.24	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)	2.92 ↓ (3.02)	3.7 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
42.4%

Draw
32.2%

Cittadella
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

30.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

30.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	52%	12%

Benevento - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Cittadella will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 52%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 14).

Benevento has the most likely position - 11 (7.28%), has project points - 50, has currently - 18, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cittadella has the most likely position - 16 (8.73%), has project points - 46, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 34, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 5.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Benevento will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Benevento won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.12.22	Parma - Benevento	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Benevento - Palermo	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Reggina - Benevento	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	SPAL - Benevento	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Benevento - Bari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLTWT
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
08.12.22	Cittadella - Bari	0:3 ✺
04.12.22	Genoa - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Parma - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Cittadella - Modena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.02.22	Cittadella - Benevento	0:1
21.09.21	Benevento - Cittadella	4:1
25.01.20	Cittadella - Benevento	1:2
31.08.19	Benevento - Cittadella	4:1
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Benevento - Cittadella	2:0
Italian Serie B
25.05.19	Benevento - Cittadella	0:3
21.05.19	Cittadella - Benevento	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Cremonese - Benevento	✺
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.26	Cittadella - Treviso	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Brescia - Cittadella	✺

Benevento - Cittadella