The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Garcilaso 60.5%
Draw 24%
Moquegua 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
24.5%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
23.5%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
The ML Model estimate for Deportivo Garcilaso aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Deportivo Garcilaso - Moquegua Predictions
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Garcilaso will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (G) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. (C) 19. Gomez A. 23. Moreno X. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Arancibia F. 10. Sandoval K. 30. Da Silva B. 24. Olivares C.
1. Grados C. (G) 22. Montenegro E. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 4. Perleche A. 8. Mejia C. 25. Chipao R. 7. Lastre E. 16. Davila A. 17. Zapata Y. 90. Collazos J.
Substitutes
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 9. Castelli F. 6. Flores C. M. 35. Mendoza J. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A. 33. Villacorta S.
11. Bryan Angulo 29. Figueroa R. (G) 30. Granda J. 6. Jimenez J. 24. Lecaros A. 9. Negron M. 14. Ramirez C. 28. Rojas L. 35. Santillan Vargas E. M.
Coaches
Greppo L.
Serna J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Da Silva B. ⚽, Arancibia F. (A),
29', Zapata Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Davila A. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
62', Olivares C. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
64', Collazos J. ↓, Negron M. ↑,
65', Enciso C. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
70', Sandoval K. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
72', Ramirez C. 🟨,
79', Lastre E. ↓, Bryan Angulo ↑,
79', Montenegro E. ↓, Santillan Vargas E. M. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Arancibia F. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
87', Da Silva B. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
87', Arancibia F. ↓, Rosell Delgado J. A. ↑,
88', Mejia C. 🟨,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).