Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boston United		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.53
	5.15	4.05	1.58
	4.99	4.38	1.59
	3.42	3.57	1.98	Watch
	5.1	4.28	1.57
	3.45	3.35	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.43)	3.97 ↑ (3.49)	1.69 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
20.8%

Draw
23.6%

Rochdale
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.4%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boston United's form might have worsened.

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochdale's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochdale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Boston United - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Rochdale (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lovett R. (G) 40. Lavinier M. 4. Teale C. 5. Mills Z. (C) 6. Sloggett G. 8. Hill D. 10. Maguire F. 16. Hiwula J. 17. Lankshear A. 19. Richards J. 24. Aboh K.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 7. Allarakhia T. 8. Gilmour H. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 10. Rodney D. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 21. McBride C. 33. Beckwith S.
Substitutes
15. Carson M. 7. Coyle R. 11. Donnelly K. 13. French H. (G) 2. Grist B. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 25. Waldock L.	18. Barlow A. 30. Berkoe K. 19. Burger J. 40. Henderson I. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 38. Smith T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Sloggett G. ↓, Carson M. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Rodney D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', Rodney D. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
64', Allarakhia T. ↓, Berkoe K. ↑,
67', Maguire F. ↓, Donnelly K. ↑,
68', Hiwula J. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Smith T. ⚽, Adebayo-Rowling T. (A),
73', McBride C. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
73', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
80', Aboh K. ↓, Waldock L. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Lankshear A. ⚽,
83', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
85', John-Lewis L. N. 🟨,
85', Lavinier M. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Smith T. ⚽, Dieseruvwe E. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Boston United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rochdale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rochdale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rochdale is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Boston United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League
05.11.25	Altrincham - Boston United	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tamworth - Boston United	1:3 ✺
21.10.25	Boston United - Morecambe	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Boston United - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Carlisle United - Boston United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLTL
- Rochdale AFC
English National League Cup
28.10.25	Rochdale - Manchester United U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Woking - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.03.25	Rochdale - Boston United	2:3
10.08.24	Boston United - Rochdale	0:3
English FA Cup
16.12.19	Boston United - Rochdale	1:2
01.12.19	Rochdale - Boston United	0:0

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