Match Info

National League - Round 20

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Boston United		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.7
	4.45	3.75	1.7
	4.51	3.78	1.7
	4.49	3.76	1.70	Watch
	4.58	3.66	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (4.49)	3.71 ↓ (3.76)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
20.6%

Draw
25%

Carlisle United
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

24.7%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.3%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Boston United - Carlisle United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lovett R. (G) 40. Lavinier M. 4. Teale C. 6. Sloggett G. (C) 15. Carson M. 26. Gallagher O. 19. Richards J. 24. Aboh K. 10. Maguire F. 8. Hill D. 14. John-Lewis L. N.	1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 3. Harper C. 20. Gilliead A. 37. Macadam H. 11. Luamba J. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 10. Linney R. 9. Kelly G.
Substitutes
44. Barrett K. (G) 18. Fogarty T. 2. Grist B. 16. Hiwula J. 3. Kelly M. 25. Waldock L.	29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 24. Grant J. 25. Lewis H. (G) 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Hayden A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Macadam H. ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, John-Lewis L. N. ⚽,
60', Macadam H. 🟨,
67', Maguire F. 🟨,
73', Carson M. 🟨,
76', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
76', Luamba J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
81', Aboh K. ↓, Waldock L. ↑,
81', John-Lewis L. N. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Macadam H. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
90+5', Lavinier M. 🟨,
90+5', Linney R. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
90+6', Lavinier M. ↓, Fogarty T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent form of Boston United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carlisle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Carlisle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League
15.11.25	Woking - Boston United	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Boston United - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
05.11.25	Altrincham - Boston United	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tamworth - Boston United	1:3 ✺
21.10.25	Boston United - Morecambe	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLLWL
- Carlisle United
English National League
15.11.25	Carlisle United - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Southend United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Reading - Carlisle United	2:3 ET ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.10.25	Carlisle United - Boston United	5:2

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