The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 51.2%
Draw 25.9%
Morecambe 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
26.3%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
25.9%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Swindon Town - Morecambe Predictions
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bycroft J. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 24. Hall G. 4. Delaney R. 33. McGregor J. 6. Ofoborh N. 18. Kilkenny G. 27. Cox G. 21. Tshimanga K. 10. Smith H. 22. Butterworth D.
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 23. Tutonda D. 18. Tollitt B. 28. Jones C. 3. Lewis A. 4. White T. 11. Slew J. 19. Dackers M.
Substitutes
12. Barden D. (G) 35. Brown J. 7. Cotterill J. 23. Drinan A. 9. Glatzel P. 11. McGurk S. 31. Minturn H.
9. Hope H. 17. Lewis P. 8. Macadam H. 22. Millen R. 15. Ray G. 24. Songo'o Y. 5. Taylor M.
Coaches
Holloway I.
Adams D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Stott J. ⚽, Hendrie L. (A),
10', Tutonda D. 🟨,
14', 0 - 2, Tollitt B. ⚽, Lewis A. (A),
32', McGregor J. ↓, Drinan A. ↑,
32', 1 - 2, Drinan A. ⚽, Smith H. (A),
35', Tutonda D. ↓, Macadam H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 2, Delaney R. ⚽,
63', Hall G. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
63', Ofoborh N. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
66', Jones C. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
67', Dackers M. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
76', Butterworth D. ↓, McGurk S. ↑,
77', Tshimanga K. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Hope H. ⚽, Hendrie L. (A),
82', Slew J. ↓, Ray G. ↑,
88', Cox G. 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Swindon is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Swindon won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1.9:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:5 (average 2.8:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.