Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Harrogate Town		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.75
	2.37	3.3	2.8
	2.4	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.46	3.38	2.94
	2.38	3.35	2.89	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.9
	2.4	3.38	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.24)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)	2.85 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
39.1%

Draw
27.9%

Morecambe
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.3%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.6%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Harrogate Town - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (C) 2. Asare Z. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Moon J. 3. Foulds M. 21. Taylor E. 8. Cornelius D. 22. Dooley S. 9. Duke-McKenna S. 24. March J. 18. Muldoon J.	25. Moore S. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 23. Tutonda D. 4. White T. 28. Jones C. 7. Edwards G. 18. Tollitt B. 3. Lewis A. 19. Dackers M.
Substitutes
6. Burrell W. 11. Daly J. 4. Falkingham J. 12. Folarin S. 1. Oxley M. (G) 14. Sims T. 17. Sutton L.	1. Burgoyne H. (G) 12. Harrack K. 9. Hope H. 8. Macadam H. 22. Millen R. 11. Slew J. 5. Taylor M.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Adams D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Williams R. ⚽, Tollitt B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
66', March J. ↓, Daly J. ↑,
76', Moore S. ↓, Burgoyne H. ↑,
76', Lewis A. ↓, Harrack K. ↑,
82', White T. ↓, Macadam H. ↑,
82', Dackers M. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Daly J. ⚽,
90+2', Macadam H. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Macadam H. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 17 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrogate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Harrogate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Notts County - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Harrogate Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Carlisle United - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Harrogate Town - Newport County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLLTW
- Morecambe
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Worthing - Morecambe	0:2 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Morecambe - Chesterfield	2:5 ✺
22.10.24	AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Morecambe - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Barrow - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.01.24	Morecambe - Harrogate Town	2:2
26.08.23	Harrogate Town - Morecambe	2:0
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Harrogate Town - Morecambe	2:1
English League Two
20.03.21	Harrogate Town - Morecambe	0:1
12.12.20	Morecambe - Harrogate Town	1:0

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