Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca (Arouca)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Mexico	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arouca		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.80	3.50	4.33
	1.8	3.3	4.4	Watch
	1.84	3.56	4.9
	1.87	3.46	4.38	Watch
	1.78	3.55	4.85
	1.86	3.61	4.64	Watch
	1.81	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.21)	3.5 ↑ (3.23)	4.58 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
52.3%

Draw
27%

Moreirense
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arouca's performance.

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Arouca - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arouca: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Fontan J. 18. Lebedenko O. 6. van Ee E. 8. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 14. Lee H. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.	13. Ferreira A. (G) 2. Santos L. 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas (C) 27. Kiko 23. John N. 65. Guilherme Liberato 89. Vieira A. 21. Rodri 11. Landerson 9. Duville-Parsemain A.
Substitutes
37. Climent M. 71. Duarte M. (G) 21. Flores M. 10. Gozalbez P. 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 23. Nandin D. 77. Park S. 89. Pedro Santos 97. Pereira da Costa F. 5. Popovic B. 1. Vinarcik J. (G)	1. Aranha (G) 44. Dacosta Gonzalez M. 4. Kevyn Monteiro 10. Kiko Bondoso 17. Martinez A. 76. Pinto D. 8. Stjepanovic M. 20. Veloso J.
Coaches
Seabra V.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', Maracas 🟨,
16', Sanchez J. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Maracas (Own goal),
30', 2 - 0, Fontan J. ⚽, Lee H. (A),
41', Barbero I. 🟨,
44', Kiko 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 0, Barbero I. ⚽, Djouahra N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vieira A. ↓, Veloso J. ↑,
46', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
55', John N. 🟨,
59', Barbero I. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
63', Landerson ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
65', Santos L. 🟨,
72', Lee H. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
72', Trezza A. ↓, Gozalbez P. ↑,
72', Rodri ↓, Stjepanovic M. ↑,
75', Nandin D. 🟨,
79', Fukui T. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
80', van Ee E. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
84', Santos L. ↓, Dacosta Gonzalez M. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 0, Nandin D. ⚽, Djouahra N. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 2.

Moreirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arouca might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Arouca: Monteiro D. (Red Card)

There will not play in Moreirense: Pinto D. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Arouca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Arouca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11
12	Moreirense	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
08.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Santa Clara - Arouca	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Arouca - Tondela	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLWWT
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
09.08.26	Moreirense - Braga	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Moreirense - Amarante	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Santa Clara - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Moreirense - AVS	0:0 ✺
11.05.26	Tondela - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
21.03.26	Moreirense - Arouca	0:1
02.11.25	Arouca - Moreirense	0:2
24.01.25	Arouca - Moreirense	1:0
18.08.24	Moreirense - Arouca	3:1
17.03.24	Moreirense - Arouca	1:0
27.10.23	Arouca - Moreirense	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
22.12.22	Moreirense - Arouca	1:2

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