Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Moreirense		Porto B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.83	3.5	3.75
	1.88	3.35	3.85
	1.94	3.59	4.15
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.88	3.45	3.76
	1.87	3.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	3.37 ↓ (3.83)	3.89 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Moreirense
49.2%

Draw
27.2%

Porto B
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.5%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreirense's form might have worsened.

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Moreirense - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 4).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Moreirense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.22	Benfica B - Moreirense	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Moreirense - Farense	3:2 ✺
18.10.22	Feirense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.22	Moreirense - Nacional	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.22	Porto B - Feirense	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Trofense - Porto B	0:3 ✺
19.10.22	Porto B - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Leixões - Porto B	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Porto B - Torreense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.01.14	Moreirense - Porto B	1:2
13.09.13	Porto B - Moreirense	0:0

Upcoming Matches