Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)


	Benfica B		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.8	3.2	2.35
	2.5	3.35	2.55
	2.65	3.58	2.65
	2.62	3.1	2.45
	2.54	3.44	2.48
	2.55	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.1)	3.33 ↑ (3.15)	2.49 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
35.6%

Draw
27.6%

Moreirense
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.7%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica B's performance.

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Benfica B - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Benfica B is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moreirense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
22.10.22	BSAD - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Benfica B - Mafra	5:1 ✺
08.10.22	Oliveirense - Benfica B	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Benfica B - Covilhã	4:0 ✺
10.09.22	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWL
- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
23.10.22	Moreirense - Farense	3:2 ✺
18.10.22	Feirense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.22	Moreirense - Nacional	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Penafiel - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.02.14	Moreirense - Benfica B	1:1
30.09.13	Benfica B - Moreirense	1:2

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