Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Feirense		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.1	2.18
	3.05	3.2	2.21
	3.37	3.26	2.32
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.14	3.2	2.19
	3.1	3.25	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	3.19 ↑ (3.13)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
29.7%

Draw
28.8%

Moreirense
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

28.3%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	7.1%	85.7%

Feirense - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Moreirense will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 67.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Feirense won 1.

Recent matches Feirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreirense is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moreirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moreirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Feirense won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Feirense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.22	Trofense - Feirense	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Varzim - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.09.22	Feirense - Oliveirense	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	BSAD - Feirense	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Feirense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTT
- Moreirense FC
Taça de Portugal
14.10.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.22	Moreirense - Nacional	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Penafiel - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Trofense - Moreirense	0:3 ✺
03.09.22	Moreirense - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.19	Feirense - Moreirense	Canceled
Liga Portugal
23.02.19	Feirense - Moreirense	1:3
29.09.18	Moreirense - Feirense	1:0
21.01.18	Feirense - Moreirense	1:0
Portuguese League Cup
11.11.17	Moreirense - Feirense	2:1
Liga Portugal
12.08.17	Moreirense - Feirense	0:0
02.02.17	Moreirense - Feirense	1:1

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