Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Macclesfield Town		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.75	8.5
	1.24	5.8	8.2
	1.25	6.33	7.41
	1.28	6.05	8.37
	1.25	5.55	8.4
	1.24	5.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	5.88 ↑ (4.33)	8.18 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
73.3%

Draw
15.6%

Morpeth Town
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.8%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19.8%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Macclesfield Town's performance.

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Macclesfield Town - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Elliott D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Bughail-Mellor D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 6).

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Morpeth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Macclesfield have a series of home games.

In this match Macclesfield is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Macclesfield to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Macclesfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Macclesfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English NPL Premier Division
02.11.24	Macclesfield Town - Lancaster City	5:1 ✺
29.10.24	Matlock Town - Macclesfield Town	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Ashton United	7:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
19.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
15.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
05.11.24	Morpeth Town - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Worksop Town - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Prescot Cables - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Morpeth Town - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.03.24	Macclesfield Town - Morpeth Town	3:0
21.10.23	Morpeth Town - Macclesfield Town	2:0

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