Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Mosta		Zejtun Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	2.95
	1.99	3.75	2.95
	2.07	4.11	3.07
	2	3.7	3
	2.06	3.54	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.74)	3.02 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
45.3%

Draw
24.4%

Zejtun Corinthians
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

19.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mosta's form might have worsened.

Zejtun Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zejtun Corinthians's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mosta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zejtun Corinthians than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zejtun Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Mosta is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Zejtun Corinthians is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mosta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mosta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mosta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
12.12.20	Lija Athletic - Mosta	1:1 ✺
09.12.20	Mosta - Valletta	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Floriana - Mosta	0:2 ✺
22.11.20	Senglea Athletic - Mosta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TTWWW
- Zejtun Corinthians FC
Maltese Premier League
14.12.20	Valletta - Zejtun Corinthians	2:1 ✺
08.12.20	Zejtun Corinthians - Lija Athletic	2:0 ✺
05.12.20	Zejtun Corinthians - Sliema Wanderers	2:4 ✺
29.11.20	Hamrun Spartans - Zejtun Corinthians	4:0 ✺
20.11.20	Sirens - Zejtun Corinthians	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.08.20	Mosta - Zejtun Corinthians	2:2
Maltese FA Trophy
20.01.18	Mosta - Zejtun Corinthians	1:2

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