Match Info

Date: 9 December 2020, Wednesday


	Motagua		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.25
				Watch
	1.3	4.4	7.25
	1.37	4.45	10.48
	1.34	4.6	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)	4.41 ↓ (4.5)	8.27 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
68.2%

Draw
20.7%

Real Estelí
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.6%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

10.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-30.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motagua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Estelí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Motagua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Estelí is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Estelí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Motagua is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
06.12.20	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF League
02.12.20	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
29.11.20	Real España - Motagua	0:1 ✺
26.11.20	Honduras Progreso - Motagua	0:5 ✺
21.11.20	Motagua - Real de Minas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.12.20	Real Estelí - Chinandega	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF League
02.12.20	Alajuelense - Real Estelí	2:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
29.11.20	Chinandega - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF League
24.11.20	Herediano - Real Estelí	0:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
19.11.20	Real Estelí - Managua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLTWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
10.10.26	Motagua - Choloma	✺
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
10.10.26	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	✺

Motagua - Real Estelí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide