Match Info

Date: 14 August 2021, Saturday


	MuSa		TPS

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.5	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.43
	5.6	4.1	1.47
	5.6	3.95	1.52
	6.28	4.08	1.58
	6.5	3.75	1.5
	5.9	4.05	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↓ (6.3)	4.05 ↓ (4.14)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MuSa
15.7%

Draw
22.8%

TPS
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.3%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

18.9%

74.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MuSa - TPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

MuSa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

TPS is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match TPS is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches MuSa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams MuSa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musan Salama
Finnish Ykkonen
07.08.21	Klubi 04 - MuSa	4:0 ✺
01.08.21	MuSa - Ekenäs	2:6 ✺
28.07.21	RoPS - MuSa	2:0 ✺
24.07.21	MuSa - Gnistan	2:4 ✺
21.07.21	FF Jaro - MuSa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT
- TPS
Finnish Ykkonen
07.08.21	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	2:1 ✺
03.08.21	JIPPO - TPS	0:1 ✺
30.07.21	TPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
24.07.21	FF Jaro - TPS	0:2 ✺
16.07.21	TPS - KPV Kokkola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
13.02.21	TPS - MuSa	2:0
Finnish Ykkonen
20.10.19	TPS - MuSa	0:0
10.08.19	MuSa - TPS	1:3
14.06.19	TPS - MuSa	1:2

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