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Current Win Probability
Municipal Limeño 31.5%
Draw 28.4%
CD FAS 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
28%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
27.7%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
CD FAS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Municipal Limeño - CD FAS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Espinoza F. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Moran L. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Diaz W. ⚽,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 1.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Municipal Limeño may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, FAS has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Municipal Limeño has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:28 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Municipal Limeño against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).