Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 3

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.47	5.11
	1.67	3.3	4.75
	1.7	3.58	4.6	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	4.65 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
53.9%

Draw
26.4%

Fluminense Piaui
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.7%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

28.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Náutico Capibaribe - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 6).

Recent matches Náutico is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fluminense PI is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Náutico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Náutico is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
11.02.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
07.02.23	Afogados da Ingazeira - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Náutico Capibaribe - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
30.01.23	Náutico Capibaribe - CA Porto	0:0 ✺
25.01.23	Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTTT
- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
12.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Comercial PI	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
04.02.23	4 de Julho - Fluminense Piaui	1:3 ✺
01.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Altos	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Ríver PI - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWT

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