Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		São Luiz

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.95	3.9
	1.84	3.05	4.3
	1.87	2.99	4.66
	1.79	3.15	4.71	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.75	3.22	4.64
	1.84	3.05	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.68)	3.07 ↓ (3.45)	4.39 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
49.8%

Draw
29.5%

São Luiz
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marcílio Dias (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Náutico Marcílio Dias will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Marcílio Dias is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, São Luiz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marcílio Dias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marcílio Dias is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
25.05.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Guarany de Bagé - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLT
- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Serie D
26.05.25	São Luiz - Joinville	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Luiz	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	São Luiz - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Barra Santa Catarina - São Luiz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
05.06.22	São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0
28.05.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz	1:1
22.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz	1:1
18.10.20	São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1

Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide