Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Nîmes		Lens

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.25
	3.15	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.25
	3.39	3.4	2.31
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.22	3.52	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.66)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2.27 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
29.7%

Draw
28.4%

Lens
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

22.5%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	21.9%	50%

Nîmes - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Lens will win (votes: 16 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Nîmes has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lens has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nîmes is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lens is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lens will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
18.09.20	Lyon - Nîmes	0:0 ✺
13.09.20	Nîmes - Rennes	2:4 ✺
30.08.20	Nantes - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
23.08.20	Nîmes - Brest	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.20	Nîmes - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLWL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
19.09.20	Lens - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Lorient - Lens	2:3 ✺
10.09.20	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.20	Lens - Charleroi	2:1
French Ligue 1
23.08.20	Nice - Lens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Coupe de la Ligue
29.10.19	Nîmes - Lens	3:0
French Ligue 2
12.01.18	Nîmes - Lens	0:1
04.08.17	Lens - Nîmes	1:2
21.01.17	Lens - Nîmes	1:3
15.08.16	Nîmes - Lens	0:2
22.04.16	Nîmes - Lens	4:2
30.11.15	Lens - Nîmes	1:0

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