Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	ON Sport
World	Onefootball


	Nice		Lens

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.62	Watch
	4.2	4	1.75
	4.9	4.25	1.62	Watch
	5.11	4.32	1.67
	4.69	4.18	1.67	Watch
	4.6	4	1.62
	4.89	4.46	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (3.98)	4.22 ↑ (4.1)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nice
20.1%

Draw
22.5%

Lens
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

23.1%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

22.7%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	11.4%	74.3%

Nice - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Lens will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 20. Louchet T. 32. Boudache K. 6. Boudaoui H. 8. Sanson M. (C) 26. Bard M. 10. Diop S. 25. Cho M.	40. Risser R. (G) 25. Ganiou I. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 23. Abdulhamid S. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 9. Saint-Maximin A. 11. Edouard O.
Substitutes
2. Abdi A. 99. Abdul Samed S. 23. Bernardeau G. 4. Dante 31. Dupe M. (G) 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 22. Ndombele T. 24. Vanhoutte C.	2. Aguilar R. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 22. Said W. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F. 18. Sylla F.
Coaches
Puel C.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Sarr M. 🟨,
44', Thauvin F. 🟨,
45', Bah J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Saint-Maximin A. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
71', Sanson M. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
71', Cho M. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
71', Boudache K. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
77', Edouard O. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
81', Abdulhamid S. 🟥,
82', Thomasson A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Abdi A. ⚽,
86', Thauvin F. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
90', Bard M. 🟨,
90+1', Boudaoui H. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
90+1', Diop S. ↓, Kevin ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.

In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lens is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Masuaku A. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nice won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 2.52% Nice: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	1	7
15	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Lens - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 53.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
26.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.04.26	Lille - Nice	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Nice - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWTTL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
24.04.26	Brest - Lens	3:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.04.26	Lens - Toulouse	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lille - Lens	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	Lens - Angers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Lens - Nice	2:0
08.02.25	Nice - Lens	2:0
28.09.24	Lens - Nice	0:0
16.03.24	Lens - Nice	1:3
20.12.23	Nice - Lens	2:0
01.02.23	Lens - Nice	0:1
29.12.22	Nice - Lens	0:0

Upcoming Matches