Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 14

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Hiiu Stadium (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Nõmme Kalju U21		FC Tallinn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	4.25	3.8
	1.78	4.31	3.25
	1.75	3.9	3.3
	1.64	4.4	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)	4.22 ↓ (4.38)	3.57 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju U21
53.2%

Draw
21.4%

FC Tallinn
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

20.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

19.9%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

FC Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nõmme Kalju U21 - FC Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju U21 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). FC Tallinn will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Ekharts D. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Pihkva J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Ekharts D. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Ekharts D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga B).

Nõmme Kalju U21 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

FC Tallinn is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

FC Tallinn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, FC Tallinn has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nõmme Kalju U21 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 1.4:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	FC Tallinn	30	8	8	14	39:63	-24	32
9	Nomme Kalju U21	31	7	4	20	38:79	-41	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
28.05.26	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Viimsi JK	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:4 ✺
27.04.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWWL
- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
28.05.26	FC Tallinn - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	FC Tallinn - Viimsi JK	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Elva - FC Tallinn	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
04.04.26	FC Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju U21	6:3
27.09.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:1
09.08.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - FC Tallinn	1:0
03.06.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju U21	7:0
20.04.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - FC Tallinn	2:4

Upcoming Matches