Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 23

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)

Referee: Frischer J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nõmme United		Tammeka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	3.60	2.30
	2.22	3.45	2.75
	2.26	4	2.8
	2.54	3.75	2.44	Watch
	2.18	3.95	2.7
	2.34	3.86	2.61	Watch
	2.24	3.65	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.48)	3.75 ↓ (3.76)	2.6 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United
39.9%

Draw
24.6%

Tammeka
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

24.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

24.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tammeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Nõmme United - Tammeka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lagus G. (G) 55. Chanda R. 2. Morishige Y. 6. Palts M. 23. Laanelaid K. 10. Frolov A. (C) 26. Oostenbrink K. 45. Jarvelaid H. 19. Krasnov I. 9. Ounapuu E. 11. Chisala B.	12. Sahtel K. (G) 3. Pedro Manoel 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 28. Kallas R. 23. Veelma P. 17. Amijekori J. 7. Thomas Lisboa 24. Pedmanson H. 99. Hydara M. 10. Uggeri G. 19. Koskor T.
Substitutes
4. Alteberg A. 24. Kabal G. 31. Kaspar A. 20. Matas K. 3. Merilai S. 71. Purg G. (G) 22. Radomskiy A. 13. Truuvaart A. 8. Vain B. 14. Vassiljev N.	89. Kauan Pereira 77. Kiidjarv C. (G) 8. Kiidron K. 13. Laabus R. 22. Lang T. 26. Lapa K. (G) 11. Muur R. 72. Tuur G. 4. Vaino M. 5. Vister M.
Coaches
Cisakowski S.	Voolaid K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Koskor T. ↓, Kauan Pereira ↑,
40', Amijekori J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ounapuu E. ↓, Matas K. ↑,
58', Oostenbrink K. 🟨,
67', Veelma P. 🟨,
68', Kallas R. ↓, Lang T. ↑,
75', Laanelaid K. 🟨,
76', 0 - 1, Kangaslahti O. ⚽,
82', Krasnov I. ↓, Vain B. ↑,
82', Laanelaid K. ↓, Kaspar A. ↑,
86', Palts M. ↓, Alteberg A. ↑,
88', Thomas Lisboa ↓, Vaino M. ↑,
88', Uggeri G. ↓, Muur R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tammeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1.2:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44
9	Nomme Utd	29	9	1	19	47:68	-21	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United
Estonian Meistriliiga
09.08.26	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme United	5:0 ✺
31.07.26	Nõmme United - Narva Trans	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Nõmme United - Kuressaare	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LLWWL
- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	5:1 ✺
11.07.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	5:1 ✺
05.07.26	Tammeka - Harju JK Laagri	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Tammeka - Narva Trans	1:0 ✺
17.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
15.05.26	Tammeka - Nõmme United	3:1
21.03.26	Nõmme United - Tammeka	2:3
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Nõmme United - Tammeka	0:6
Estonian Meistriliiga
09.11.24	Nõmme United - Tammeka	1:2
11.08.24	Tammeka - Nõmme United	1:1
04.07.24	Tammeka - Nõmme United	2:1
05.04.24	Nõmme United - Tammeka	2:1

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