Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 24

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United U21		Läänemaa Haapsalu

	1	X	2
	1.1	9	13.5
	1.1	8.3	12.5
	1.07	11.37	12
	1.18	7.54	9.48	Watch
	1.15	7.5	12
	1.08	8.9	14
	1.1	8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.3)	8.66 ↑ (6)	12.35 ↑ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United U21
82.1%

Draw
10.5%

Läänemaa Haapsalu
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

15.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

10.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United U21's performance.

Läänemaa Haapsalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Läänemaa Haapsalu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-32.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Läänemaa Haapsalu than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Läänemaa Haapsalu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nõmme United U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Läänemaa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Läänemaa (4.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Läänemaa (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Ortega R. (G) 88. Manniste M. 58. Medvedev A. 32. Piht K. 23. Marmei M. 25. Kabal G. (C) 17. Zilmer K. 66. Palu R. 77. Tomingas K. 18. Saarnak J. 36. Veske S.	1. Gutmann M. (G) 67. Lust A. 5. Pahkel A. 31. Viispert A. 21. Keldrima M. 19. Mott R. 37. Suder R. 45. Hein S. 7. Valkiainen M. (C) 15. Veski S. 10. Konks M.
Substitutes
7. Kranberg R. 12. MIhelson S. 20. Polda P. (G) 11. Tamm S. 19. Tiigiste R. 8. Valge A. 29. Viiroja U.	6. Kariste K. 18. Laherand R. 35. Laitamm R. (G) 53. Paes K. 94. Valdmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Veski S. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Tomingas K. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Veski S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Manniste M. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Palu R. ⚽,
88', 4 - 2, Viiroja U. ⚽,

Preview

Nõmme United U21 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Läänemaa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Nõmme United U21 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
10.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Kuressaare U21	0:3 ✺
04.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- Läänemaa JK Haapsalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
09.08.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:3 ✺
04.08.25	Paide U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	6:1 ✺
26.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tallinna JK Legion	0:4 ✺
21.07.25	Tabasalu - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:0 ✺
12.07.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tartu Kalev	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
01.06.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Nõmme United U21	1:5
12.04.25	Nõmme United U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	2:0

Nõmme United U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide