Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 21Date: 1 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Nõmme United U21 |
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Tartu Welco |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.80 |
5.00 |
1.41 |
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 |
3.85 |
4.45 |
1.58 |
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3.72 |
4.52 |
1.61 |
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3.78 |
4.71 |
1.62 |
 Watch |
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3.9 |
4.1 |
1.55 |
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4.22 |
4.45 |
1.65 |
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3.8 |
4.4 |
1.58 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(4.3) |
4.52 ↑
(4.45) |
1.57 ↑
(1.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nõmme United U21
22.5% | Draw
20% | Tartu Welco
57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+3.2%)Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Welco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Laasner K. ⚽, Magi M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, MIhelson S. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, MIhelson S. ⚽,
Preview
Nõmme United U21 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Tartu Welco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Nõmme United U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Tartu Welco is a strong favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 85:39 | 46 | 68 |
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| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | -13 | 39 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 21.06.26 | Tartu Welco - Nõmme United U21 | 5:2 | | 03.04.26 | Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Welco | 1:3 |
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