Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Germany	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Nürnberg		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.8	3.4
	2.15	3.6	2.98	Watch
	2.22	3.9	3.23
	2.2	3.54	3.17	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.14	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.88)	3.61 ↑ (3.43)	3.03 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
42.5%

Draw
26.2%

Schalke 04
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

26.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg's performance.

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Schalke 04 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schalke 04 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	15%	40%

Nürnberg - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Schalke will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Schalke (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Schalke (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nürnberg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 3 - 60%). Schalke (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Mathenia C. (G) 8. Koudossou H. 4. Gruber F. (C) 24. Lochoshvili L. 3. Danilo Soares 25. Becker F. O. 6. Markhiev A. 20. Fernandez J. 10. Justvan J. 23. Zoma M. A. 18. Lubach R.	22. Muller K. (G) 5. Becker T. 43. Ayhan M. 2. Sanchez F. 33. Becker V. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.
Substitutes
33. Grimaldi A. 32. Janisch T. 36. Mandic K. 22. Nzingoula R. 41. Porstner E. 1. Reichert J. (G) 39. Scobel P. 16. Soldic M. 21. Yilmaz B.	18. Antwi-Adjei C. 14. Bachmann J. 10. Dzeko E. 17. Gantenbein A. 7. Gomis C. 3. Leonard D. 16. N'Diaye M. 27. Porath F. 36. Siebeking J. (G)
Coaches
Klose M.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Schallenberg R. (Own goal),
37', Becker V. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Koudossou H. ⚽, Gruber F. (A),
45+4', Becker F. O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Becker V. ↓, N'Diaye M. ↑,
62', Ayhan M. 🟨,
64', Schallenberg R. ↓, Antwi-Adjei C. ↑,
67', Danilo Soares ↓, Yilmaz B. ↑,
67', Lubach R. ↓, Porstner E. ↑,
70', Sylla M. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Becker F. O. (A),
73', Zoma M. A. 🟨,
76', El-Faouzi S. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
77', Becker T. ↓, Leonard D. ↑,
77', Becker F. O. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
81', Justvan J. ↓, Soldic M. ↑,
81', Zoma M. A. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Schalke is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Bundesliga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1.

Recent performances by Nürnberg have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Schalke is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nürnberg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Katic N. (Knee Injury) Lasme B. (Inactive) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Porath F. (Hamstring Injury) Wallentowitz M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nürnberg: Zoma M. A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Nurnberg: 17.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	7	5	2	0	20:10	10	17

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Nürnberg - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Nürnberg - Dynamo Dresden	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTLT
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Paderborn - Schalke 04	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Schalke 04 - Preußen Münster	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	1:0
25.01.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	3:1
10.08.24	Nürnberg - Schalke 04	3:1
13.04.24	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	2:0
04.11.23	Nürnberg - Schalke 04	1:2
Club Friendly
10.01.23	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	0:1
German 2 Bundesliga
15.05.22	Nürnberg - Schalke 04	1:2

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