Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Schalke 04		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6	Watch
	1.48	4.45	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.8	6.41
	1.52	4.61	5.69	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.55	6.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.48)	4.52 ↓ (4.61)	5.86 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
63.2%

Draw
20.8%

Karlsruher
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Schalke 04 - Karlsruher Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 43. Ayhan M. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.	1. Bernat C. (G) 5. Ambrosius S. 28. Franke M. 22. Kobald C. 16. Muller A. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 7. Burnic D. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 20. Herold D. 24. Schleusener F. 19. Ben Farhat L.
Substitutes
18. Antwi-Adjei C. 14. Bachmann J. 17. Gantenbein A. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 11. Lasme B. 22. Muller K. (G) 2. Sanchez F. 35. Wallentowitz M.	11. Forster P. 13. Fukuda S. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 2. Jung S. 8. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 17. Opitz L. 15. Scholl P. 9. Simic R. 21. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Muller A. 🟨,
20', Karaman K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Ljubicic D. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
64', Burnic D. ↓, Jung S. ↑,
64', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
68', Gomis C. 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Karaman K. ⚽, N'Diaye M. (A),
77', Kobald C. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
77', Muller A. ↓, Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑,
77', Karaman K. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
79', Ayhan M. 🟨,
84', Aouchiche A. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
84', Sylla M. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
86', Pinto Pedrosa R. ↓, Simic R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Schalke is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Schweinfurt - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Schalke 04 - Hannover	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTWT
- Karlsruher SC
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.03.26	Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.11.25	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:1
16.02.25	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	2:1
13.09.24	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:0
31.03.24	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	0:0
22.10.23	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	3:0
26.02.22	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	1:1
17.09.21	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:2

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