Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria
Brazil	08:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	07:30	Disney+
Colombia	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	13:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Hong Kong	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	13:30	Arena 4
Iceland	11:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Israel	14:30	Sport 2
Italy	13:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Kosovo	13:30	Arena Premium 2
Laos	18:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	05:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	23:30	beIN Connect
Norway	13:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	13:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	12:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	14:30	Prima Sport PPV 3
Saudi Arabia	14:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	13:30	Sport TV3
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Thailand	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	14:30	Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	11:30	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6	Watch
	1.48	4.45	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.8	6.41
	1.52	4.61	5.69	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.55	6.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.48)	4.52 ↓ (4.61)	5.86 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
63.2%

Draw
20.8%

Karlsruher
16%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19.2%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Schalke 04 - Karlsruher Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 43. Ayhan M. 4. Kurucay H. 16. N'Diaye M. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 21. Ljubicic D. 19. Karaman K. (C) 24. Aouchiche A. 9. Sylla M.	1. Bernat C. (G) 5. Ambrosius S. 28. Franke M. 22. Kobald C. 16. Muller A. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 7. Burnic D. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 20. Herold D. 24. Schleusener F. 19. Ben Farhat L.
Substitutes
18. Antwi-Adjei C. 14. Bachmann J. 17. Gantenbein A. 7. Gomis C. 37. Gruger M. 11. Lasme B. 22. Muller K. (G) 2. Sanchez F. 35. Wallentowitz M.	11. Forster P. 13. Fukuda S. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 2. Jung S. 8. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 17. Opitz L. 15. Scholl P. 9. Simic R. 21. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Muller A. 🟨,
20', Karaman K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Ljubicic D. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,
64', Burnic D. ↓, Jung S. ↑,
64', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
68', Gomis C. 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Karaman K. ⚽, N'Diaye M. (A),
77', Kobald C. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
77', Muller A. ↓, Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑,
77', Karaman K. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
79', Ayhan M. 🟨,
84', Aouchiche A. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
84', Sylla M. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
86', Pinto Pedrosa R. ↓, Simic R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Schalke is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Karlsruher SC	9	2	2	5	11:20	-9	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Schweinfurt - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Darmstadt - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Schalke 04 - Hannover	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTWT
- Karlsruher SC
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.03.26	Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Magdeburg - Karlsruher	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.11.25	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:1
16.02.25	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	2:1
13.09.24	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:0
31.03.24	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	0:0
22.10.23	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	3:0
26.02.22	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	1:1
17.09.21	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:2

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