Match Info

Date: 5 November 2021, Friday


	Nürnberg		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.4	Watch
	3	3.25	2.35
	2.9	3.3	2.38
	3.05	3.37	2.48
	2.9	3.2	2.35
	2.89	3.48	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.73)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
32.4%

Draw
28.4%

Werder Bremen
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

20%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nürnberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Werder Bremen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nürnberg - Werder Bremen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Nürnberg has the most likely position - 8 (8.99%), has project points - 50, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Werder has the most likely position - 5 (9.73%), has project points - 53, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Werder could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
29.10.21	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
23.10.21	Nürnberg - Heidenheim	4:0 ✺
17.10.21	Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.21	Nürnberg - Ingolstadt	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL
- Werder Bremen
German 2 Bundesliga
30.10.21	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Sandhausen - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
17.10.21	Darmstadt - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
01.10.21	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Dynamo Dresden - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
02.02.19	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	1:1
16.09.18	Werder Bremen - Nürnberg	1:1
08.03.14	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	0:2
29.09.13	Werder Bremen - Nürnberg	3:3
18.05.13	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	3:2
16.12.12	Werder Bremen - Nürnberg	1:1
25.02.12	Werder Bremen - Nürnberg	0:1

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