Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	00:30	beIN Sports
Cyprus	16:30	Nova Sports
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay, V Sport
France	15:30	beIN Sports Max
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
Portugal	14:30	Eleven Sports 2
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport
Ukraine	16:30	Setanta Sports
International	13:30	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Darmstadt		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.8	2.25	Watch
	2.87	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.75	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.35
	3.06	3.8	2.31
	2.8	3.7	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.78	2.27	Watch
	2.85	3.8	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.47)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)	2.3 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
33%

Draw
25.5%

Werder Bremen
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

26.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darmstadt's form might have worsened.

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Werder Bremen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darmstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Werder Bremen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	11.1%	69.4%

Darmstadt - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 7 - 19.4%). Werder will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 54.3% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 14. Klarer C. 23. Gjasula K. 5. Maglica M. 26. Bader M. 32. Holland F. (C) 15. Nurnberger F. 6. Mehlem M. 11. Kempe T. 24. Pfeiffer L. 27. Skarke T.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 5. Pieper A. 36. Gross C. (C) 13. Veljkovic M. 8. Weiser M. 14. Lynen S. 2. Deman O. 20. Schmid R. 6. Stage J. 19. Borre R. 7. Ducksch M.
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 28. Franjic B. 18. Honsak M. 9. Hornby F. 3. Isherwood T. 38. Riedel C. 17. Ronstadt F. 8. Schnellhardt F. 22. Seydel A.	27. Agu F. 10. Bittencourt L. 3. Jung A. 18. Keita N. 9. Kownacki D. 17. Njinmah J. 23. Rapp N. 29. Woltemade N. 30. Zetterer M. (G)
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Werner O.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 1.

Darmstadt has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Werder is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German Bundesliga
22.09.23	Stuttgart - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Darmstadt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3 ✺
02.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Darmstadt	5:1 ✺
26.08.23	Darmstadt - Union Berlin	1:4 ✺
20.08.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
23.09.23	Werder Bremen - Köln	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
02.09.23	Werder Bremen - Mainz	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.03.22	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:0
17.10.21	Darmstadt - Werder Bremen	3:0
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:1
German Bundesliga
04.03.17	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	2:0
01.10.16	Darmstadt - Werder Bremen	2:2
27.02.16	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	2:2
22.09.15	Darmstadt - Werder Bremen	2:1

Upcoming Matches